M.I.M. Rafeek* and P.A. Samaratunga**
ABSTRACT
This paper examines the impact of trade
intervention
policies. The trade protection for the rice sector was estimated using
both nominal and effective protection rates. These show positive
protection
to producers at the expense of consumers. Current analysis indicates
that
one rupee of resources is used to produce 56 cents worth of rice valued
in foreign exchange. As trade is increasingly liberalised,
protection will be eventually eliminated and rice farmers will be
forced
to produce rice at competitive prices. Consequently, the extent under
rice
is expected to decrease by 12 per cent and total production decreases
by
16 per cent. Meanwhile demand for rice will increase as a result
of the reduction in retail price. Overall welfare impacts reveal that
it
is a gain to the nation. However, the producers face welfare losses.
Therefore
concerted and simultaneous efforts are imperative to improve
productivity
growth and reduce the unit cost of production in order to improve the
competitiveness
of the rice sector so that it can compete with the rest of the
world.
[ FULL
PAPER ]
* *,** Economist and
Director
respectively, Socio Economic and Planning Centre, Department of
Agriculture,
Peradeniya
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Rafeek and Samaratunga. 2000. Sri Lankan
Journal
of Agricultural Economics. Volume 3, Number 1. Page 143 - 154.
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